AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Feb 05, 2026

Universitatea Craiova

Home
VS
16:00

Oţelul

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Universitatea Craiova Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Oţelul Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 74%
Market 59%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 46%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 1.06 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 7 places Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Oţelul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Universitatea Craiova Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Universit… vs Farul Con… 4-1
Jan 24 Universit… vs FC Botosa… 2-0
Jan 19 Universit… vs Petrolul … 0-4
Jan 07 Universit… vs Konyaspor 1-0
Jan 06 Universit… vs Fatih Kar… 2-1
Dec 22 Universit… vs Csikszere… 5-0
Dec 18 Universit… vs AEK Athen… 3-2
Dec 14 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 0-2
Dec 11 Universit… vs Slavia Pr… 1-2
Dec 07 Universit… vs CFR 1907 … 1-1
Oţelul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 0-0
Jan 26 Oţelul vs Csikszere… 3-0
Jan 18 Oţelul vs CFR 1907 … 1-0
Dec 20 Oţelul vs Argeș Pit… 2-1
Dec 13 Oţelul vs Rapid 0-2
Dec 05 Oţelul vs Unirea Sl… 3-0
Dec 02 Oţelul vs Csikszere… 1-2
Nov 29 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 1-0
Nov 23 Oţelul vs Farul Con… 2-2
Nov 08 Oţelul vs Petrolul … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitatea Craiova in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Oţelul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Oţelul 1 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Feb 21, 2025 Oţelul 0 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Feb 14, 2025 Universitatea Craio… 2 - 1 Oţelul Liga I
Jan 11, 2025 Universitatea Craio… 1 - 2 Oţelul Friendlies Clu…
Oct 18, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 2 - 0 Oţelul Liga I
Oct 05, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
May 19, 2024 Oţelul 0 - 2 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 21, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 18, 2024 Oţelul 2 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Cupa României
Apr 04, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Cupa României
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universitatea Craiova to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Oţelul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitatea Craiova Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Oţelul Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.