AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Feb 07, 2026

Erzgebirge AUE

Home
VS
13:00

FC SaarbrĂĽcken

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Erzgebirge AUE Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.00 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Erzgebirge AUE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Erzgebirge AUE Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Erzgebirg… vs Havelse 3-1
Jan 24 Erzgebirg… vs SSV Ulm 1… 0-3
Jan 17 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 2-1
Jan 05 Erzgebirg… vs Union Ber… 1-2
Dec 20 Erzgebirg… vs FC Schwei… 4-0
Dec 13 Erzgebirg… vs MSV Duisb… 0-0
Dec 07 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 2-2
Nov 28 Erzgebirg… vs SV Wehen 3-1
Nov 23 Erzgebirg… vs Stuttgart… 0-0
Nov 08 Erzgebirg… vs Verl 1-1
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 FC Saarbr… vs VfL Osnab… 0-1
Jan 23 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 2-0
Jan 17 FC Saarbr… vs Energie C… 1-1
Dec 20 FC Saarbr… vs Hansa Ros… 1-1
Dec 13 FC Saarbr… vs Hoffenhei… 2-2
Dec 07 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 2-1
Nov 29 FC Saarbr… vs Rot-Weiß … 2-3
Nov 23 FC Saarbr… vs TSV 1860 … 2-0
Nov 08 FC Saarbr… vs Havelse 1-1
Nov 02 FC Saarbr… vs Alemannia… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Erzgebirge AUE struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 4 - 1 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Apr 08, 2025 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Nov 02, 2024 Erzgebirge AUE 1 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Mar 09, 2024 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Oct 07, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 0 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Feb 26, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Aug 20, 2022 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 0 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: FC SaarbrĂĽcken to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 0-2 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Erzgebirge AUE Power 25
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Power 70
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Erzgebirge AUE Position

-1

Position Gap

16

FC SaarbrĂĽcken Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.