AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Bundesliga Feb 07, 2026

SC Paderborn 07

Home
VS
12:00

FC Nurnberg

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
SC Paderborn 07 Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Nurnberg Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.31 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Paderborn 07 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
FC Nurnberg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
SC Paderborn 07 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 SC Paderb… vs Fortuna D… 2-1
Jan 25 SC Paderb… vs Preussen … 2-1
Jan 18 SC Paderb… vs Holstein … 2-0
Dec 19 SC Paderb… vs SV Darmst… 2-2
Dec 13 SC Paderb… vs Karlsruhe… 0-4
Dec 06 SC Paderb… vs SV Elvers… 1-2
Nov 28 SC Paderb… vs FC Schalk… 2-1
Nov 22 SC Paderb… vs Hannover … 0-2
Nov 09 SC Paderb… vs FC Magdeb… 0-1
Nov 02 SC Paderb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
FC Nurnberg Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 FC Nurnbe… vs Preussen … 1-1
Jan 23 FC Nurnbe… vs SV Darmst… 2-0
Jan 17 FC Nurnbe… vs SV Elvers… 3-2
Dec 21 FC Nurnbe… vs Hannover … 2-1
Dec 14 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Schalk… 1-0
Dec 07 FC Nurnbe… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-2
Nov 29 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Magdeb… 3-0
Nov 23 FC Nurnbe… vs Arminia B… 2-0
Nov 07 FC Nurnbe… vs Dynamo Dr… 1-2
Nov 01 FC Nurnbe… vs Eintracht… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2025 FC Nurnberg 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Apr 19, 2025 FC Nurnberg 2 - 3 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2024 SC Paderborn 07 3 - 2 FC Nurnberg Pro League
Nov 22, 2024 SC Paderborn 07 3 - 2 FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga
Apr 19, 2024 FC Nurnberg 0 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Apr 19, 2024 FC Nurnberg 0 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 Pro League
Nov 11, 2023 SC Paderborn 07 1 - 3 FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga
May 28, 2023 SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga
Nov 13, 2022 FC Nurnberg 2 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2022 FC Nurnberg 1 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SC Paderborn 07 to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Paderborn 07 Power 46
FC Nurnberg Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

SC Paderborn 07 Position

+5

Position Gap

9

FC Nurnberg Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.