AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Sep 02, 2023

Santa Fe

Home
VS
23:10

Junior

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Santa Fe Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Junior Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.18 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Santa Fe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 3-1
Apr 29 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 2-0
Apr 27 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 3-1
Apr 16 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 2-2
Apr 10 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 3-1
Apr 01 Santa Fe vs Chico 1-0
Mar 19 Santa Fe vs Junior 1-1
Mar 09 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 1-2
Nov 28 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 5-1
Nov 23 Santa Fe vs Junior 2-3
Junior Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-0
May 14 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-0
Apr 30 Junior vs Millonari… 1-0
Apr 10 Junior vs Atlético … 0-1
Mar 19 Junior vs Santa Fe 1-1
Feb 19 Junior vs Deportivo… 1-0
Dec 01 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 23 Junior vs Santa Fe 2-3
Nov 13 Junior vs Santa Fe 0-0
Nov 07 Junior vs Deportivo… 4-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Fe struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2023 Junior 1 - 1 Santa Fe Primera A
Nov 23, 2022 Junior 2 - 3 Santa Fe Primera A
Nov 13, 2022 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Junior Primera A
Jul 24, 2022 Junior 2 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Fe Power 0
Junior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Santa Fe Position

+3

Position Gap

12

Junior Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.