AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 19, 2023

Junior

Home
VS
01:30

Santa Fe

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Junior Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Santa Fe Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.50 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Junior Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Junior vs Deportivo… 1-0
Dec 01 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 23 Junior vs Santa Fe 2-3
Nov 13 Junior vs Santa Fe 0-0
Nov 07 Junior vs Deportivo… 4-3
Sep 18 Junior vs Deportivo… 2-1
Aug 19 Junior vs Atlético … 1-1
Jul 29 Junior vs Atlético … 3-0
Jul 24 Junior vs Santa Fe 2-0
Jul 14 Junior vs Atlético … 3-1
Santa Fe Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 1-2
Nov 28 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 5-1
Nov 23 Santa Fe vs Junior 2-3
Nov 13 Santa Fe vs Junior 0-0
Nov 09 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 2-0
Oct 11 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 4-0
Aug 13 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 2-1
Jul 24 Santa Fe vs Junior 2-0
Jul 14 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 2-2
Apr 16 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Fe in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Junior struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2022 Junior 2 - 3 Santa Fe Primera A
Nov 13, 2022 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Junior Primera A
Jul 24, 2022 Junior 2 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Junior Power 0
Santa Fe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Junior Position

-3

Position Gap

9

Santa Fe Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.