AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Aug 26, 2023

Ayr Utd

Home
VS
14:00

Dundee Utd

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Ayr Utd Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Dundee Utd Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.18 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Ayr Utd Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 25 Ayr Utd vs ST Johnst… 1-2
Jul 08 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 2-0
Mar 31 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 2-0
Jan 14 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 2-2
Oct 29 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 0-2
Jul 30 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 0-0
Jul 23 Ayr Utd vs ST Johnst… 1-0
Jun 25 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 2-1
Aug 14 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Nov 14 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 1-1
Dundee Utd Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 2-1
Aug 05 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 1-1
Jul 25 Dundee Utd vs Falkirk 0-1
May 28 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 3-2
May 24 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 0-3
May 20 Dundee Utd vs Livingston 2-1
Apr 22 Dundee Utd vs Livingston 2-0
Apr 15 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 1-2
Apr 09 Dundee Utd vs Hibernian 2-1
Apr 01 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dundee Utd struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 14, 2021 Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dundee Utd League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ayr Utd to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Ayr Utd Power 0
Dundee Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.