AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Feb 11, 2026

Mtibwa Sugar

Home
VS
13:00

Young Africans

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Mtibwa Sugar Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Young Africans Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.68 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mtibwa Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Young Africans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Mtibwa Sugar Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Mtibwa Su… vs Tanzania … 2-1
Jan 25 Mtibwa Su… vs Pamba Jiji 1-0
Jan 21 Mtibwa Su… vs Mbeya Cit… 2-1
Jan 18 Mtibwa Su… vs Simba 1-1
Dec 03 Mtibwa Su… vs JKT Tanza… 0-0
Nov 29 Mtibwa Su… vs Kitayosce 2-1
Nov 25 Mtibwa Su… vs KMC 0-0
Oct 28 Mtibwa Su… vs Young Afr… 2-0
Oct 22 Mtibwa Su… vs Dodoma Ji… 0-0
Oct 19 Mtibwa Su… vs Coastal U… 0-0
Young Africans Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Young Afr… vs Al Ahly 1-1
Jan 27 Young Afr… vs Dodoma Ji… 3-1
Jan 23 Young Afr… vs Al Ahly 2-0
Jan 19 Young Afr… vs Mashujaa 6-0
Dec 07 Young Afr… vs Coastal U… 0-1
Dec 04 Young Afr… vs Singida B… 2-0
Nov 28 Young Afr… vs JS Kabylie 0-0
Nov 22 Young Afr… vs FAR Rabat 1-0
Nov 09 Young Afr… vs KMC 4-1
Oct 28 Young Afr… vs Mtibwa Su… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mtibwa Sugar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Young Africans in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 28, 2025 Young Africans 2 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar Ligi kuu Bara
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mtibwa Sugar to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mtibwa Sugar Power 0
Young Africans Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Mtibwa Sugar Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Young Africans Position
Home Win Rate: 83%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.