AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Feb 07, 2026

Kitayosce

Home
VS
13:00

Mbeya City FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Kitayosce Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Mbeya City FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.31 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kitayosce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Mbeya City FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Kitayosce Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Kitayosce vs Coastal U… 1-1
Jan 29 Kitayosce vs Azam 2-0
Jan 23 Kitayosce vs KMC 3-0
Dec 06 Kitayosce vs Singida F… 1-3
Nov 29 Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Su… 2-1
Nov 26 Kitayosce vs JKT Tanza… 1-0
Nov 22 Kitayosce vs Tanzania … 1-0
Oct 22 Kitayosce vs Mashujaa 0-0
Sep 28 Kitayosce vs Pamba Jiji 0-0
Sep 20 Kitayosce vs Dodoma Ji… 2-2
Mbeya City FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… 1-1
Jan 30 Mbeya Cit… vs Pamba Jiji 1-1
Jan 21 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 2-1
Dec 04 Mbeya Cit… vs Simba 3-0
Nov 30 Mbeya Cit… vs Namungo 0-1
Nov 26 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 2-0
Nov 22 Mbeya Cit… vs Mashujaa 1-0
Oct 24 Mbeya Cit… vs JKT Tanza… 2-2
Oct 21 Mbeya Cit… vs Tanzania … 1-2
Oct 18 Mbeya Cit… vs KMC 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mbeya City FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kitayosce Power 0
Mbeya City FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Kitayosce Position

+4

Position Gap

13

Mbeya City FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.