AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Feb 03, 2026

Mbeya City FC

Home
VS
11:00

Dodoma Jiji

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Mbeya City FC Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Dodoma Jiji Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 40%
Market 46%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
xG: 1.72 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3 Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mbeya City FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Dodoma Jiji Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Mbeya City FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Mbeya Cit… vs Pamba Jiji 1-1
Jan 21 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 2-1
Dec 04 Mbeya Cit… vs Simba 3-0
Nov 30 Mbeya Cit… vs Namungo 0-1
Nov 26 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 2-0
Nov 22 Mbeya Cit… vs Mashujaa 1-0
Oct 24 Mbeya Cit… vs JKT Tanza… 2-2
Oct 21 Mbeya Cit… vs Tanzania … 1-2
Oct 18 Mbeya Cit… vs KMC 0-3
Sep 30 Mbeya Cit… vs Young Afr… 0-0
Dodoma Jiji Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Dodoma Ji… vs JKT Tanza… 0-1
Jan 27 Dodoma Ji… vs Young Afr… 3-1
Jan 22 Dodoma Ji… vs Tanzania … 1-0
Jan 16 Dodoma Ji… vs Singida F… 1-1
Nov 28 Dodoma Ji… vs Mashujaa 0-0
Nov 21 Dodoma Ji… vs Namungo 2-0
Oct 25 Dodoma Ji… vs Pamba Jiji 1-0
Oct 22 Dodoma Ji… vs Mtibwa Su… 0-0
Oct 17 Dodoma Ji… vs Singida B… 1-0
Sep 27 Dodoma Ji… vs Coastal U… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mbeya City FC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2022 Mbeya City FC 1 - 2 Dodoma Jiji Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 17, 2022 Dodoma Jiji 1 - 3 Mbeya City FC Ligi kuu Bara
Apr 23, 2022 Dodoma Jiji 2 - 1 Mbeya City FC Ligi kuu Bara
Dec 06, 2021 Mbeya City FC 2 - 0 Dodoma Jiji Ligi kuu Bara
Mar 09, 2021 Mbeya City FC 1 - 1 Dodoma Jiji Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 16, 2020 Dodoma Jiji 0 - 0 Mbeya City FC Ligi kuu Bara
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mbeya City FC Power 0
Dodoma Jiji Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Mbeya City FC Position

-5

Position Gap

8

Dodoma Jiji Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.