AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 16, 2026

Lubumbashi Sport

Home
VS
11:00

FC Tshikas

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Lubumbashi Sport Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FC Tshikas Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lubumbashi Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
FC Tshikas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Lubumbashi Sport Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Lubumbash… vs Tshinkunku 1-0
Jan 29 Lubumbash… vs Groupe Ba… 1-1
Jan 26 Lubumbash… vs Malole 1-0
Jan 18 Lubumbash… vs Don Bosco 0-0
Jan 15 Lubumbash… vs Blessing 1-1
Jan 11 Lubumbash… vs Saint-luc 1-0
Dec 17 Lubumbash… vs Blessing 2-0
Dec 14 Lubumbash… vs Simba 0-1
Dec 11 Lubumbash… vs CS Manika 1-0
Dec 04 Lubumbash… vs Malole 0-0
FC Tshikas Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 FC Tshikas vs Blessing 3-1
Jan 29 FC Tshikas vs Tanganyika 0-0
Jan 21 FC Tshikas vs Sanga Bal… 3-1
Jan 18 FC Tshikas vs Groupe Ba… 1-0
Dec 22 FC Tshikas vs TP Mazembe 0-1
Dec 18 FC Tshikas vs CS Manika 0-0
Dec 15 FC Tshikas vs Panda B5 0-1
Dec 12 FC Tshikas vs Don Bosco 3-0
Nov 29 FC Tshikas vs Tshinkunku 1-0
Nov 26 FC Tshikas vs Malole 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Tshikas struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lubumbashi Sport to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lubumbashi Sport Power 0
FC Tshikas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Lubumbashi Sport Position

+9

Position Gap

15

FC Tshikas Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.