AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Feb 16, 2026

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
00:00

Sporting San Jose

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sporting San Jose Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.97 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Sporting San Jose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
LD Alajuelense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 0-1
Jan 28 LD Alajue… vs Guadalupe… 1-3
Jan 25 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 1-0
Jan 22 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Jan 18 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Jan 16 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 2-2
Dec 21 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Dec 18 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Dec 14 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 3-0
Dec 11 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-1
Sporting San Jose Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 4-1
Jan 30 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 0-2
Jan 27 Sporting … vs Perez Zel… 0-0
Jan 23 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 0-1
Jan 19 Sporting … vs Inter San… 3-0
Jan 15 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 0-2
Dec 06 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 0-0
Nov 30 Sporting … vs Puntarena… 0-0
Nov 23 Sporting … vs LD Alajue… 2-0
Nov 01 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2025 LD Alajuelense 2 - 0 Sporting San Jose Primera Divisi…
Jul 28, 2025 LD Alajuelense 1 - 2 Sporting San Jose Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Sporting San Jose Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Sporting San Jose Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.