AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Dec 11, 2022

AEL

Home
VS
17:00

Aris

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
AEL Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Aris Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.06 - 0.56
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Aris Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (20%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
AEL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 13 AEL vs AEK Larna… 1-0
Oct 28 AEL vs Paris FC 0-3
Oct 10 AEL vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Sep 12 AEL vs Olympiako… 0-0
Aug 28 AEL vs Aris 2-1
May 20 AEL vs Ethnikos … 1-2
May 07 AEL vs Omonia Ni… 3-2
Apr 29 AEL vs Olympiako… 0-4
Apr 09 AEL vs Ethnikos … 2-0
Mar 11 AEL vs Olympiako… 0-1
Aris Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Aris vs Apollon L… 2-0
Sep 16 Aris vs Anorthosis 1-1
Aug 29 Aris vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Aug 28 Aris vs AEL 2-1
Jan 31 Aris vs AEL 1-2
Oct 30 Aris vs AEL 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2022 Aris 2 - 1 AEL First Division
Jan 31, 2022 Aris 1 - 2 AEL First Division
Oct 30, 2021 AEL 0 - 1 Aris First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEL Power 0
Aris Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

AEL Position

-2

Position Gap

5

Aris Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.