AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Aug 28, 2022

Aris

Home
VS
16:00

AEL

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
Aris Win
42.0%
Draw
25.6%
AEL Win
32.4%
Home Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.70 - 1.23
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
AEL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Aris Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Aris vs AEL 1-2
Oct 30 Aris vs AEL 0-1
AEL Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 AEL vs Ethnikos … 1-2
May 07 AEL vs Omonia Ni… 3-2
Apr 29 AEL vs Olympiako… 0-4
Apr 09 AEL vs Ethnikos … 2-0
Mar 11 AEL vs Olympiako… 0-1
Feb 26 AEL vs AEK Larna… 3-1
Jan 31 AEL vs Aris 1-2
Dec 19 AEL vs Olympiako… 3-0
Oct 30 AEL vs Aris 0-1
Sep 03 AEL vs Paris FC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEL in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2022 Aris 1 - 2 AEL First Division
Oct 30, 2021 AEL 0 - 1 Aris First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aris Power 0
AEL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Aris Position

+2

Position Gap

7

AEL Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.