AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Nov 29, 2024

Dumbarton

Home
VS
19:45

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Dumbarton Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Alloa Athletic Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.65 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Dumbarton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 3-1
Oct 05 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Sep 14 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Sep 07 Dumbarton vs Peterhead 1-0
Aug 13 Dumbarton vs St. Mirre… 4-0
Aug 10 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-3
Aug 03 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 1-1
Jul 13 Dumbarton vs East Kilb… 1-1
May 17 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-2
May 14 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-1
Alloa Athletic Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-0
Nov 16 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 2-1
Nov 12 Alloa Ath… vs Dunfermli… 1-0
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 1-1
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Spartans 0-3
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-1
Nov 02 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-0
Oct 27 Alloa Ath… vs Orange Co… 3-2
Oct 23 Alloa Ath… vs Tampa Bay… 2-2
Oct 19 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 3 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4 - 5 Dumbarton FA Cup
May 13, 2023 Dumbarton 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
May 09, 2023 Alloa Athletic 6 - 0 Dumbarton League One
Apr 08, 2023 Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 Dumbarton League Two
Apr 02, 2022 Alloa Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League One
Feb 19, 2022 Dumbarton 1 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 20, 2021 Alloa Athletic 1 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Sep 25, 2021 Dumbarton 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dumbarton to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dumbarton Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.