AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 10, 2024

Dumbarton

Home
VS
14:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Dumbarton Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Alloa Athletic Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.66 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Dumbarton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 1-1
Jul 13 Dumbarton vs East Kilb… 1-1
May 17 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-2
May 14 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-1
May 11 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 0-0
May 07 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 2-1
Apr 27 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 2-2
Apr 20 Dumbarton vs Stranraer 0-0
Apr 13 Dumbarton vs Clyde 1-0
Apr 06 Dumbarton vs Forfar At… 0-2
Alloa Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 0-0
Aug 03 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 0-0
Jul 23 Alloa Ath… vs Spartans 1-0
Jul 20 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 1-1
Jun 29 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 3-1
May 11 Alloa Ath… vs Hamilton … 3-2
May 07 Alloa Ath… vs Hamilton … 2-2
May 04 Alloa Ath… vs Falkirk 2-2
May 04 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 1-1
Apr 27 Alloa Ath… vs Falkirk 3-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4 - 5 Dumbarton FA Cup
May 13, 2023 Dumbarton 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
May 09, 2023 Alloa Athletic 6 - 0 Dumbarton League One
Apr 08, 2023 Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 Dumbarton League Two
Apr 02, 2022 Alloa Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League One
Feb 19, 2022 Dumbarton 1 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 20, 2021 Alloa Athletic 1 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Sep 25, 2021 Dumbarton 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Apr 27, 2021 Dumbarton 1 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dumbarton Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.