AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Jan 17, 2025

Lincoln Red Imps

Home
VS
20:00

Europa

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Lincoln Red Imps Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Europa Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.18 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lincoln Red Imps Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Europa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Lincoln Red Imps Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Lincoln R… vs Lynx FC 1-5
Nov 30 Lincoln R… vs Europa Po… 2-0
Nov 09 Lincoln R… vs Glacis Un… 0-6
Nov 03 Lincoln R… vs College 1… 5-1
Oct 30 Lincoln R… vs Europa Po… 0-5
Oct 27 Lincoln R… vs Lions Gib… 0-2
Oct 23 Lincoln R… vs St Joseph… 0-0
Oct 05 Lincoln R… vs Europa 0-0
Sep 25 Lincoln R… vs Lynx FC 3-0
Aug 18 Lincoln R… vs St Joseph… 1-1
Europa Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Europa vs Magpies 2-0
Dec 15 Europa vs Europa Po… 3-0
Dec 08 Europa vs Mons Calpe 1-3
Dec 01 Europa vs Glacis Un… 8-0
Nov 24 Europa vs College 1… 0-3
Nov 10 Europa vs Lions Gib… 2-4
Nov 01 Europa vs St Joseph… 1-3
Oct 18 Europa vs College 1… 0-0
Oct 05 Europa vs Lincoln R… 0-0
Sep 28 Europa vs Magpies 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lincoln Red Imps in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Europa in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 Europa 0 - 0 Lincoln Red Imps Premier Divisi…
Apr 17, 2024 Lincoln Red Imps 3 - 0 Europa Rock Cup
Mar 31, 2024 Lincoln Red Imps 2 - 1 Europa Premier Divisi…
Dec 09, 2023 Europa 1 - 4 Lincoln Red Imps Premier Divisi…
Apr 22, 2023 Lincoln Red Imps 1 - 2 Europa Premier Divisi…
Feb 11, 2023 Europa 0 - 2 Lincoln Red Imps Premier Divisi…
Jan 16, 2023 Lincoln Red Imps 3 - 2 Europa Rock Cup
Dec 13, 2022 Europa 0 - 1 Lincoln Red Imps Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lincoln Red Imps to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lincoln Red Imps Power 0
Europa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lincoln Red Imps Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Europa Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.