AI Match Insights
Premier Division Apr 22, 2023
Lincoln Red Imps
HomeVS
14:00
Europa
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Lincoln Red Imps Win
Draw
Europa Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
Combined: 62%
Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.42 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Lincoln Red Imps Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Europa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Lincoln Red Imps Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | Lincoln R… vs St Joseph… | 0-3 |
| Apr 08 | Lincoln R… vs Glacis Un… | 0-5 |
| Mar 03 | Lincoln R… vs Lynx FC | 4-0 |
| Feb 18 | Lincoln R… vs Lynx FC | 5-0 |
| Feb 11 | Lincoln R… vs Europa | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Lincoln R… vs Glacis Un… | 4-1 |
| Jan 22 | Lincoln R… vs Lynx FC | 1-4 |
| Jan 16 | Lincoln R… vs Europa | 3-2 |
| Dec 13 | Lincoln R… vs Europa | 0-1 |
| Dec 02 | Lincoln R… vs Lions Gib… | 6-0 |
Europa Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | Europa vs Magpies | 1-2 |
| Apr 09 | Europa vs St Joseph… | 3-0 |
| Mar 05 | Europa vs Glacis Un… | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Europa vs Lynx FC | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Europa vs Lincoln R… | 0-2 |
| Feb 03 | Europa vs Magpies | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Europa vs St Joseph… | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Europa vs Glacis Un… | 4-2 |
| Jan 16 | Europa vs Lincoln R… | 3-2 |
| Jan 06 | Europa vs Lynx FC | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Lincoln Red Imps in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
- Europa in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | Europa | 0 - 2 | Lincoln Red Imps | Premier Divisi… |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Lincoln Red Imps | 3 - 2 | Europa | Rock Cup |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Europa | 0 - 1 | Lincoln Red Imps | Premier Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lincoln Red Imps to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Lincoln Red Imps Power
0
Europa Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Lincoln Red Imps Position+2
Position Gap4
Europa Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.