AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championnat National Mar 08, 2023

Buffles

Home
VS
15:00

Dragons

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Buffles Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Dragons Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Buffles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Dragons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Buffles Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Buffles vs Ayema 3-2
Feb 25 Buffles vs Bani Gansè 1-0
Jan 15 Buffles vs Damissa 0-1
Dec 03 Buffles vs Damissa 0-2
Jun 01 Buffles vs Coton Spo… 0-0
May 18 Buffles vs Espoir Sa… 1-0
Apr 24 Buffles vs JSP 1-2
Apr 03 Buffles vs Coton Spo… 3-1
Mar 23 Buffles vs Ayema 0-0
Mar 12 Buffles vs Espoir Sa… 1-2
Dragons Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Dragons vs Damissa 1-1
Jan 29 Dragons vs ASVO Coto… 3-0
Dec 24 Dragons vs Ayema 0-0
Dec 17 Dragons vs ASVO Coto… 0-0
Nov 12 Dragons vs Ayema 3-0
Jan 19 Dragons vs Ayema 1-1
Jan 16 Dragons vs ASVO Coto… 2-0
Dec 01 Dragons vs Ayema 1-0
Nov 27 Dragons vs ASVO Coto… 0-1
Jun 09 Dragons vs Buffles 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 09, 2021 Dragons 1 - 0 Buffles Championnat Na…
Apr 28, 2021 Buffles 1 - 0 Dragons Championnat Na…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Buffles to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Buffles Power 0
Dragons Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Buffles Position

+9

Position Gap

11

Dragons Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.