AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Apr 23, 2025

Sampaio Corrêa

Home
VS
22:00

Maranhão AC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sampaio Corrêa Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Maranhão AC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampaio Corrêa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Maranhão AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Sampaio Corrêa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 1-1
Apr 05 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-0
Mar 30 Sampaio C… vs IAPE 3-1
Mar 15 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 1-0
Mar 10 Sampaio C… vs Boavista 3-0
Mar 07 Sampaio C… vs Boavista 0-0
Feb 26 Sampaio C… vs Figueiren… 0-1
Feb 01 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 1-1
Jan 26 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 1-2
Jan 15 Sampaio C… vs IAPE 0-3
Maranhão AC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Maranhão … vs IAPE 1-1
Apr 05 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 0-0
Apr 02 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 1-0
Mar 21 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 1-0
Mar 15 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 1-0
Mar 01 Maranhão … vs IAPE 1-0
Feb 25 Maranhão … vs Vitoria 0-1
Feb 02 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 3-2
Jun 15 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 0-1
May 29 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 15, 2025 Maranhão AC 1 - 0 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
Jun 15, 2024 Maranhão AC 0 - 1 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
May 29, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 1 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Apr 17, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 3 - 3 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Mar 16, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2024 Maranhão AC 3 - 0 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
Feb 25, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sampaio Corrêa to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sampaio Corrêa Power 0
Maranhão AC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Sampaio Corrêa Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Maranhão AC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.