AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Jan 28, 2024

Maranhão AC

Home
VS
19:00

Sampaio Corrêa

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Maranhão AC Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Sampaio Corrêa Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Maranhão AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sampaio Corrêa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Maranhão AC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 4-0
Feb 25 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 2-2
Feb 09 Maranhão … vs IAPE 3-0
Jan 28 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Jan 22 Maranhão … vs IAPE 3-1
Sampaio Corrêa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 0-1
Nov 25 Sampaio C… vs Sport Rec… 4-1
Nov 20 Sampaio C… vs Avaí 4-0
Mar 12 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-2
Feb 25 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 2-2
Feb 12 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-3
Jan 28 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 0-0
Jan 26 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 2-0
Jan 11 Sampaio C… vs IAPE 0-1
Mar 30 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maranhão AC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 25, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maranhão AC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maranhão AC Power 0
Sampaio Corrêa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Maranhão AC Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Sampaio Corrêa Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.