AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Jul 24, 2022

Aberdeen

Home
VS
14:00

Raith Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Aberdeen Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Raith Rovers Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.37 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Aberdeen Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Apr 23 Aberdeen vs Livingston 1-2
Apr 02 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Feb 26 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Dec 26 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Nov 20 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Aug 15 Aberdeen vs Raith Rov… 2-1
Raith Rovers Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 09 Raith Rov… vs Alloa Ath… 4-0
Jun 29 Raith Rov… vs Queen of … 1-2
Apr 03 Raith Rov… vs Queen of … 3-1
Mar 26 Raith Rov… vs Arbroath 3-3
Mar 12 Raith Rov… vs Queen of … 0-1
Feb 01 Raith Rov… vs Queen of … 3-3
Nov 06 Raith Rov… vs Queen of … 1-1
Sep 11 Raith Rov… vs Queen of … 0-1
Aug 15 Raith Rov… vs Aberdeen 2-1
Jul 24 Raith Rov… vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Raith Rovers in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 15, 2021 Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Aberdeen League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aberdeen to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aberdeen Power 0
Raith Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.