AI Match Insights

Primera A Feb 12, 2026

Deportivo Pereira

Home
VS
01:30

Alianza Petrolera

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pereira Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Alianza Petrolera Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.71 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pereira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Alianza Petrolera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Deportivo Pereira Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Deportivo… vs Junior 2-3
Jan 28 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-2
Jan 24 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 0-0
Jan 16 Deportivo… vs Llaneros 0-2
Nov 12 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 4-0
Oct 15 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 3-2
May 09 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Nov 11 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
May 25 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-2
May 12 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 1-0
Alianza Petrolera Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Alianza P… vs Bucaraman… 5-0
Jan 28 Alianza P… vs Chico 1-1
Jan 24 Alianza P… vs Deportes … 2-0
Jan 17 Alianza P… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Nov 14 Alianza P… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 09 Alianza P… vs Chico 2-0
Oct 28 Alianza P… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Oct 24 Alianza P… vs La Equida… 2-0
Oct 18 Alianza P… vs Rionegro … 1-0
Oct 12 Alianza P… vs Junior 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pereira struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Alianza Petrolera struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pereira to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pereira Power 0
Alianza Petrolera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Deportivo Pereira Position

+4

Position Gap

20

Alianza Petrolera Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.