AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 11, 2026

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
01:30

Deportes Tolima

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Deportes Tolima Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.09 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Bucaramanga Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 5-0
Jan 27 Bucaraman… vs Cúcuta De… 2-2
Jan 24 Bucaraman… vs Llaneros 1-1
Jan 18 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 2-1
Dec 09 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 0-0
Dec 04 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 0-0
Nov 30 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 0-2
Nov 26 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 1-2
Nov 23 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 0-0
Nov 19 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Deportes Tolima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Deportes … vs La Equida… 0-0
Jan 28 Deportes … vs Independi… 2-2
Jan 24 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 2-0
Jan 18 Deportes … vs Junior 0-2
Dec 17 Deportes … vs Junior 0-1
Dec 13 Deportes … vs Junior 3-0
Dec 08 Deportes … vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Dec 04 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Nov 29 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 26 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 04, 2025 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Nov 23, 2025 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 19, 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 0 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Apr 06, 2025 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 01, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 22, 2024 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 02, 2023 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Mar 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Deportes Tolima Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.