AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 07, 2026

Santa Fe

Home
VS
23:20

Atlético Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Santa Fe Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Atlético Nacional Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.03 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Santa Fe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Santa Fe vs Chico 0-1
Jan 28 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 2-2
Jan 26 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 1-1
Jan 19 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 1-1
Jan 16 Santa Fe vs Junior 1-1
Dec 09 Santa Fe vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Dec 03 Santa Fe vs Fortaleza… 1-2
Nov 29 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 26 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 1-2
Nov 22 Santa Fe vs Fortaleza… 3-0
Atlético Nacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Atlético … vs America d… 2-1
Jan 17 Atlético … vs Chico 4-0
Dec 18 Atlético … vs Independi… 0-1
Dec 13 Atlético … vs Independi… 0-0
Dec 08 Atlético … vs America d… 3-2
Dec 04 Atlético … vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 30 Atlético … vs Junior 2-1
Nov 27 Atlético … vs Junior 1-1
Nov 23 Atlético … vs Independi… 0-0
Nov 21 Atlético … vs America d… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 26, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 Santa Fe Primera A
Jun 13, 2025 Santa Fe 1 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Jun 08, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 2 Santa Fe Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 3 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 5 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Fe Power 0
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Santa Fe Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Atlético Nacional Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.