AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 07, 2026

Deportes Tolima

Home
VS
21:10

Llaneros

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Llaneros Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.63 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Deportes Tolima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Deportes … vs La Equida… 0-0
Jan 28 Deportes … vs Independi… 2-2
Jan 24 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 2-0
Jan 18 Deportes … vs Junior 0-2
Dec 17 Deportes … vs Junior 0-1
Dec 13 Deportes … vs Junior 3-0
Dec 08 Deportes … vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Dec 04 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Nov 29 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 26 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-2
Llaneros Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Llaneros vs Rionegro … 1-1
Jan 27 Llaneros vs Fortaleza… 1-1
Jan 24 Llaneros vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Jan 16 Llaneros vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 14 Llaneros vs Envigado 0-3
Nov 08 Llaneros vs Deportes … 3-1
Oct 31 Llaneros vs Atlético … 0-3
Oct 25 Llaneros vs Bucaraman… 2-0
Oct 19 Llaneros vs Once Cald… 2-0
Oct 12 Llaneros vs Santa Fe 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Deportes Tolima 3 - 1 Llaneros Primera A
Sep 06, 2025 Llaneros 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima Primera A
May 19, 2025 Llaneros 1 - 3 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Mar 24, 2025 Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Llaneros Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Llaneros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportes Tolima Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Llaneros Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.