AI Match Insights

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Primera A Feb 07, 2026

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
01:30

La Equidad FC

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Independiente Medellin Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
La Equidad FC Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 3.48 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Independiente Medellin Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Independi… vs Millonari… 0-0
Jan 28 Independi… vs Deportes … 2-2
Jan 24 Independi… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Jan 18 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Dec 18 Independi… vs Atlético … 0-1
Dec 13 Independi… vs Atlético … 0-0
Dec 08 Independi… vs Junior 2-1
Dec 04 Independi… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Independi… vs America d… 1-1
Nov 27 Independi… vs America d… 2-1
La Equidad FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 La Equida… vs Deportes … 0-0
Jan 29 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-3
Jan 23 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 2-1
Jan 17 La Equida… vs America d… 3-0
Nov 12 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 4-0
Nov 09 La Equida… vs Bucaraman… 2-1
Oct 29 La Equida… vs Fortaleza… 0-1
Oct 24 La Equida… vs Alianza P… 2-0
Oct 20 La Equida… vs Deportes … 0-2
Oct 12 La Equida… vs America d… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • La Equidad FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Independiente Medellin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Independiente Medel… 3 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Mar 09, 2025 La Equidad FC 0 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Oct 06, 2024 Independiente Medel… 0 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Mar 23, 2024 La Equidad FC 1 - 2 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Jul 15, 2023 Independiente Medel… 2 - 2 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 16, 2023 La Equidad FC 2 - 1 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Aug 05, 2022 Independiente Medel… 1 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Jun 17, 2022 La Equidad FC 1 - 5 Independiente Medel… Primera A
May 21, 2022 Independiente Medel… 2 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Medellin Power 0
La Equidad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Independiente Medellin Position

-12

Position Gap

5

La Equidad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.