AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 05, 2026

Atlético Nacional

Home
VS
01:00

America de Cali

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Atlético Nacional Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
America de Cali Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.86 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
America de Cali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Atlético Nacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Atlético … vs Chico 4-0
Dec 18 Atlético … vs Independi… 0-1
Dec 13 Atlético … vs Independi… 0-0
Dec 08 Atlético … vs America d… 3-2
Dec 04 Atlético … vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 30 Atlético … vs Junior 2-1
Nov 27 Atlético … vs Junior 1-1
Nov 23 Atlético … vs Independi… 0-0
Nov 21 Atlético … vs America d… 1-0
Nov 16 Atlético … vs America d… 2-2
America de Cali Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 America d… vs Once Cald… 1-1
Jan 25 America d… vs Chico 0-1
Jan 17 America d… vs La Equida… 3-0
Jan 14 America d… vs Once Cald… 1-1
Dec 08 America d… vs Atlético … 3-2
Dec 05 America d… vs Junior 2-1
Dec 02 America d… vs Independi… 1-1
Nov 27 America d… vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 24 America d… vs Junior 1-1
Nov 21 America d… vs Atlético … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • America de Cali in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2025 America de Cali 3 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 21, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 America de Cali Primera A
Nov 16, 2025 America de Cali 2 - 2 Atlético Nacional Copa Colombia
Nov 02, 2025 Atlético Nacional 4 - 1 America de Cali Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2025 America de Cali 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Mar 10, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 America de Cali Primera A
Dec 15, 2024 America de Cali 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional Copa Colombia
Dec 13, 2024 Atlético Nacional 3 - 1 America de Cali Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 2 - 1 America de Cali Primera A
Jun 07, 2024 America de Cali 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional Liga Femenina
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Nacional Power 0
America de Cali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Atlético Nacional Position

-2

Position Gap

4

America de Cali Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.