AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jan 29, 2026

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
01:30

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Millonarios Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 95%
Market 35%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 51%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
xG: 2.21 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7 Position gap: 17 places Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Deportivo Pasto Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 1-2
Jan 18 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-0
Jan 11 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 0-0
Nov 14 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-1
Nov 14 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 3-0
Nov 10 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 09 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-0
Nov 07 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-4
Oct 28 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 0-1
Oct 28 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 4-0
Millonarios Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Millonari… vs Junior 1-2
Jan 18 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 2-1
Jan 12 Millonari… vs River Pla… 1-0
Nov 13 Millonari… vs Chico 1-2
Nov 07 Millonari… vs Envigado 1-1
Oct 30 Millonari… vs Once Cald… 0-0
Oct 25 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Oct 21 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Oct 15 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 3-2
Oct 08 Millonari… vs America d… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Millonarios struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 11, 2025 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Aug 09, 2025 Millonarios 3 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Feb 01, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 20, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Deportivo Pasto to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.