AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tocantinense Feb 07, 2026

União Carmolandense

Home
VS
19:00

Bela Vista TO

Away
AI Predictions 44.3% Confidence
União Carmolandense Win
44.3%
Draw
25.1%
Bela Vista TO Win
30.5%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.51 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
União Carmolandense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Bela Vista TO Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
União Carmolandense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 União Car… vs Gurupi 2-1
Jan 24 União Car… vs Palmas 0-2
Jan 17 União Car… vs Tocantinó… 0-0
Bela Vista TO Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Bela Vist… vs Capital 1-0
Jan 24 Bela Vist… vs Tocantinó… 2-0
Jan 18 Bela Vist… vs Guarai Sc 1-1
Mar 01 Bela Vist… vs Capital 0-2
Feb 15 Bela Vist… vs Tocantinó… 0-1
Feb 25 Bela Vist… vs Capital 2-0
Feb 09 Bela Vist… vs Tocantinó… 2-1
Mar 25 Bela Vist… vs Capital 1-1
Mar 18 Bela Vist… vs Capital 1-1
Mar 05 Bela Vist… vs Tocantinó… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: União Carmolandense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
União Carmolandense Power 0
Bela Vista TO Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.