AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tocantinense Feb 07, 2026

Tocantinópolis

Home
VS
19:00

Araguaína

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Tocantinópolis Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Araguaína Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.97 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tocantinópolis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Araguaína Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (27%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Tocantinópolis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Tocantinó… vs Guarai Sc 2-0
Jan 24 Tocantinó… vs Bela Vist… 2-0
Jan 17 Tocantinó… vs União Car… 0-0
Mar 26 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 0-0
Mar 22 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 1-0
Mar 12 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 3-0
Mar 08 Tocantinó… vs Araguaína 0-1
Mar 01 Tocantinó… vs Gurupi 1-1
Feb 15 Tocantinó… vs Bela Vist… 0-1
Apr 06 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 2-1
Araguaína Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Araguaína vs Palmas 0-1
Jan 24 Araguaína vs Gurupi 2-0
Jan 17 Araguaína vs Capital 1-1
Apr 05 Araguaína vs União Car… 0-0
Mar 29 Araguaína vs União Car… 1-1
Mar 23 Araguaína vs Capital 0-3
Mar 18 Araguaína vs Capital 1-2
Mar 15 Araguaína vs Capital 1-0
Mar 08 Araguaína vs Tocantinó… 0-1
Feb 22 Araguaína vs Gurupi 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2025 Araguaína 0 - 1 Tocantinópolis Tocantinense
Feb 04, 2024 Tocantinópolis 0 - 1 Araguaína Tocantinense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tocantinópolis to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tocantinópolis Power 0
Araguaína Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.