AI Match Insights

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Sergipano Feb 10, 2026

Sergipe

Home
VS
23:00

Atlético Gloriense

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Sergipe Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Atlético Gloriense Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.97 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Sergipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Atlético Gloriense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Sergipe Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Sergipe vs Desportiv… 0-2
Jan 31 Sergipe vs Confiança 1-0
Jan 24 Sergipe vs Falcon 0-2
Jan 21 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 0-1
Jan 17 Sergipe vs GuaranĂ­ SE 1-1
Jan 11 Sergipe vs América SE 2-2
Mar 05 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 2-0
Mar 01 Sergipe vs América M… 0-1
Feb 22 Sergipe vs GuaranĂ­ RS 4-0
Feb 19 Sergipe vs Ceará 0-2
Atlético Gloriense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Atlético … vs Falcon 2-1
Jan 31 Atlético … vs Guaraní SE 3-2
Jan 24 Atlético … vs Confiança 2-1
Jan 21 Atlético … vs América SE 2-0
Jan 18 Atlético … vs Desportiv… 1-1
Jan 11 Atlético … vs AO Itabai… 1-0
Jan 28 Atlético … vs Lagarto 2-1
Mar 25 Atlético … vs Lagarto 2-0
Mar 19 Atlético … vs Lagarto 1-0
Jan 13 Atlético … vs Lagarto 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sergipe in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • AtlĂ©tico Gloriense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sergipe to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sergipe Power 0
Atlético Gloriense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Sergipe Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Atlético Gloriense Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.