AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 11, 2026

GuaranĂ­ SE

Home
VS
18:15

Falcon

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
GuaranĂ­ SE Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Falcon Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.75 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
GuaranĂ­ SE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Falcon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
GuaranĂ­ SE Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Guaraní SE vs Atlético … 3-2
Jan 25 Guaraní SE vs América SE 0-0
Jan 21 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Lagarto 2-0
Jan 17 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Sergipe 1-1
Jan 11 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Dorense 3-1
Jan 13 Guaraní SE vs Confiança 5-1
Falcon Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Falcon vs Atlético … 2-1
Jan 31 Falcon vs Dorense 1-0
Jan 24 Falcon vs Sergipe 0-2
Jan 21 Falcon vs Confiança 0-0
Jan 16 Falcon vs AO Itabai… 0-2
Jan 10 Falcon vs Lagarto 2-2
Mar 15 Falcon vs Confiança 3-0
Mar 08 Falcon vs Confiança 1-2
Mar 05 Falcon vs Lagarto 0-0
Mar 01 Falcon vs Lagarto 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Falcon struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
GuaranĂ­ SE Power 0
Falcon Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

GuaranĂ­ SE Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Falcon Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.