AI Match Insights

Sergipano Feb 11, 2026

América SE

Home
VS
18:15

AO Itabaiana

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
América SE Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
AO Itabaiana Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.31 - 0.38
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
América SE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (50%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 8%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
América SE Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 América SE vs Lagarto 0-0
Jan 31 América SE vs Desportiv… 0-0
Jan 25 América SE vs Guaraní SE 0-0
Jan 21 América SE vs Atlético … 2-0
Jan 17 América SE vs Dorense 2-2
Jan 11 América SE vs Sergipe 2-2
Feb 24 América SE vs Falcon 0-1
Feb 21 América SE vs Falcon 2-2
Feb 16 América SE vs Falcon 0-0
Mar 19 América SE vs Falcon 0-1
AO Itabaiana Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 AO Itabai… vs Dorense 3-0
Jan 31 AO Itabai… vs Lagarto 0-0
Jan 25 AO Itabai… vs Desportiv… 2-1
Jan 21 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 0-1
Jan 16 AO Itabai… vs Falcon 0-2
Jan 11 AO Itabai… vs Atlético … 1-0
Aug 30 AO Itabai… vs ABC 0-1
Aug 24 AO Itabai… vs Maringá 2-2
Aug 16 AO Itabai… vs Ponte Pre… 1-0
Aug 11 AO Itabai… vs CSA 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AO Itabaiana in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
América SE Power 0
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

América SE Position

-3

Position Gap

2

AO Itabaiana Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.