AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 11, 2026

Desportiva Aracaju

Home
VS
18:15

Lagarto

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Desportiva Aracaju Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Lagarto Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 0.42 - 4.00
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Desportiva Aracaju Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (13%) 0-2 (10%) 1-3 (5%) 0-1 (5%) 1-2 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Desportiva Aracaju Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Desportiv… vs Sergipe 0-2
Jan 31 Desportiv… vs América SE 0-0
Jan 25 Desportiv… vs AO Itabai… 2-1
Jan 22 Desportiv… vs Dorense 1-2
Jan 18 Desportiv… vs Atlético … 1-1
Jan 10 Desportiv… vs Confiança 0-3
Lagarto Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Lagarto vs América SE 0-0
Jan 31 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Jan 25 Lagarto vs Dorense 1-5
Jan 21 Lagarto vs GuaranĂ­ SE 2-0
Jan 18 Lagarto vs Confiança 2-2
Jan 10 Lagarto vs Falcon 2-2
Mar 05 Lagarto vs Falcon 0-0
Mar 01 Lagarto vs Falcon 3-0
Feb 16 Lagarto vs Sergipe 0-4
Feb 08 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Desportiva Aracaju struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Desportiva Aracaju Power 0
Lagarto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Desportiva Aracaju Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Lagarto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.