AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Feb 11, 2026

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC

Home
VS
21:00

Cariari Pococi

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Cariari Pococi Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.40 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Cariari Pococi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Pitbulls … vs AD Carmel… 0-0
Jan 25 Pitbulls … vs Santa Ana 1-2
Nov 16 Pitbulls … vs Futbol Co… 1-1
Nov 09 Pitbulls … vs CS Uruguay 1-0
Oct 29 Pitbulls … vs Cariari P… 1-1
Oct 25 Pitbulls … vs Escorpion… 3-1
Oct 23 Pitbulls … vs Aserri FC 1-0
Oct 19 Pitbulls … vs AD Carmel… 2-0
Oct 12 Pitbulls … vs Santa Ana 0-0
Sep 28 Pitbulls … vs Futbol Co… 1-1
Cariari Pococi Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Cariari P… vs Escorpion… 1-2
Jan 23 Cariari P… vs AD Carmel… 1-1
Jan 18 Cariari P… vs Santa Ana 4-1
Dec 20 Cariari P… vs AD Cofutpa 1-2
Dec 17 Cariari P… vs AD Cofutpa 1-0
Nov 30 Cariari P… vs ADR Jicar… 1-1
Nov 23 Cariari P… vs ADR Jicar… 0-0
Nov 16 Cariari P… vs Aserri FC 3-0
Nov 09 Cariari P… vs Futbol Co… 3-1
Nov 02 Cariari P… vs CS Uruguay 6-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cariari Pococi struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2025 Pitbulls Santa Barb… 1 - 1 Cariari Pococi Liga de Ascenso
Sep 14, 2025 Cariari Pococi 0 - 0 Pitbulls Santa Barb… Liga de Ascenso
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Power 0
Cariari Pococi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Cariari Pococi Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.