AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Feb 11, 2026

AD Cofutpa

Home
VS
21:00

Municipal Grecia

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
AD Cofutpa Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Municipal Grecia Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.40 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AD Cofutpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Municipal Grecia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
AD Cofutpa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 AD Cofutpa vs AD SarchĂ­ 1-1
Jan 25 AD Cofutpa vs Santa Cru… 4-1
Jan 17 AD Cofutpa vs Deportivo… 3-2
Dec 28 AD Cofutpa vs Inter San… 3-1
Dec 24 AD Cofutpa vs Inter San… 1-2
Dec 20 AD Cofutpa vs Cariari P… 1-2
Dec 17 AD Cofutpa vs Cariari P… 1-0
Nov 29 AD Cofutpa vs Escorpion… 0-2
Nov 25 AD Cofutpa vs Escorpion… 0-2
Nov 16 AD Cofutpa vs Quepos Ca… 5-0
Municipal Grecia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-2
Jan 29 Municipal… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Jan 17 Municipal… vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Nov 16 Municipal… vs AD Sarchí 1-3
Nov 09 Municipal… vs Quepos Ca… 1-1
Nov 02 Municipal… vs Inter San… 2-3
Oct 30 Municipal… vs AD Cofutpa 0-2
Oct 19 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-3
Oct 09 Municipal… vs Antioquia 2-3
Oct 05 Municipal… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AD Cofutpa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 30, 2025 AD Cofutpa 0 - 2 Municipal Grecia Liga de Ascenso
Sep 13, 2025 Municipal Grecia 5 - 3 AD Cofutpa Liga de Ascenso
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AD Cofutpa to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
AD Cofutpa Power 0
Municipal Grecia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

AD Cofutpa Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Municipal Grecia Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.