AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Feb 08, 2026

Gicumbi

Home
VS
13:00

Amagaju

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Gicumbi Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Amagaju Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.13 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gicumbi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Amagaju Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Gicumbi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Gicumbi vs Musanze 0-3
Jan 09 Gicumbi vs Muhanga 2-3
Jan 05 Gicumbi vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-4
Jan 02 Gicumbi vs Al Hilal … 1-3
Dec 26 Gicumbi vs Rutsiro 2-4
Dec 21 Gicumbi vs Al Merrei… 1-0
Dec 18 Gicumbi vs Marines 1-0
Dec 14 Gicumbi vs Mukura 2-0
Dec 04 Gicumbi vs AS Kigali 2-1
Nov 29 Gicumbi vs Rayon Spo… 1-1
Amagaju Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Amagaju vs Marines 1-1
Jan 14 Amagaju vs APR 0-1
Jan 11 Amagaju vs Al Hilal … 8-0
Jan 02 Amagaju vs Marines 1-0
Dec 27 Amagaju vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-0
Dec 20 Amagaju vs Mukura 0-1
Dec 14 Amagaju vs Al Merrei… 1-0
Dec 11 Amagaju vs Rutsiro 1-2
Dec 06 Amagaju vs Muhanga 0-1
Nov 29 Amagaju vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gicumbi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Amagaju struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 Amagaju 0 - 2 Gicumbi National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gicumbi to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gicumbi Power 0
Amagaju Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Gicumbi Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Amagaju Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.