AI Match Insights
National Soccer League Feb 07, 2026
Bugesera
HomeVS
13:00
APR
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Bugesera Win
Draw
APR Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
Combined: 35%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.51 - 1.12
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bugesera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (22%)
0-0 (20%)
0-2 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
Under 2.5 Goals
78%
Bugesera Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 | Bugesera vs Etincelles | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | Bugesera vs APR | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Bugesera vs Police | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Bugesera vs AS Kigali | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Bugesera vs Rayon Spo… | 2-1 |
| Dec 11 | Bugesera vs Al Hilal … | 3-1 |
| Dec 05 | Bugesera vs Mukura | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Bugesera vs Marines | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Bugesera vs Al Merrei… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Bugesera vs Rutsiro | 2-3 |
APR Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 04 | APR vs Gasogi Un… | 0-3 |
| Jan 18 | APR vs Al Merrei… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | APR vs Amagaju | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | APR vs Bugesera | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | APR vs Muhanga | 1-2 |
| Dec 20 | APR vs Gasogi Un… | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | APR vs Gorilla | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | APR vs Police | 0-0 |
| Dec 02 | APR vs Etincelles | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | APR vs AS Kigali | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Bugesera in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- APR in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 03, 2026 | APR | 2 - 1 | Bugesera | National Socce… |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Bugesera | 0 - 1 | APR | National Socce… |
| Nov 27, 2024 | APR | 2 - 0 | Bugesera | National Socce… |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bugesera | 0 - 0 | APR | National Socce… |
| Oct 10, 2023 | APR | 1 - 1 | Bugesera | National Socce… |
| Apr 02, 2023 | APR | 2 - 1 | Bugesera | National Socce… |
| Oct 07, 2022 | Bugesera | 2 - 1 | APR | National Socce… |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Bugesera | 0 - 0 | APR | National Socce… |
| Dec 12, 2021 | APR | 2 - 1 | Bugesera | National Socce… |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Bugesera | 0 - 3 | APR | National Socce… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Bugesera Power
0
APR Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
12
Bugesera Position-9
Position Gap3
APR Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.