AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Feb 05, 2026

AS Kigali

Home
VS
13:00

Rayon Sports

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
AS Kigali Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Rayon Sports Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 40%
Market 35%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
xG: 0.50 - 0.37
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (42%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (5%) 0-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 94%
AS Kigali Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 09 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-0
Jan 03 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 0-1
Dec 29 AS Kigali vs Al Hilal … 4-2
Dec 26 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 1-1
Dec 19 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
Dec 13 AS Kigali vs Muhanga 0-0
Dec 07 AS Kigali vs Al Merrei… 2-1
Dec 04 AS Kigali vs Gicumbi 2-1
Nov 28 AS Kigali vs APR 1-1
Nov 23 AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… 0-2
Rayon Sports Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Rayon Spo… vs Mukura 1-1
Jan 21 Rayon Spo… vs Al Merrei… 2-2
Jan 17 Rayon Spo… vs Al Hilal … 4-0
Jan 04 Rayon Spo… vs Muhanga 2-0
Dec 27 Rayon Spo… vs Etincelles 1-1
Dec 19 Rayon Spo… vs Gorilla 1-2
Dec 14 Rayon Spo… vs Bugesera 2-1
Dec 05 Rayon Spo… vs Musanze 2-0
Nov 29 Rayon Spo… vs Gicumbi 1-1
Nov 23 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2025 Rayon Sports 0 - 2 AS Kigali National Socce…
Mar 15, 2025 Rayon Sports 2 - 1 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 14, 2024 AS Kigali 1 - 3 Rayon Sports National Socce…
May 05, 2024 Rayon Sports 4 - 2 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 09, 2023 AS Kigali 2 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Mar 12, 2023 AS Kigali 1 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Nov 24, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Apr 23, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Kigali to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
AS Kigali Power 0
Rayon Sports Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

AS Kigali Position

-5

Position Gap

9

Rayon Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.