AI Match Insights

1st Division Feb 08, 2026

Besa Kavajë

Home
VS
12:30

Luftëtari

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Besa Kavajë Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Luftëtari Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.16 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Besa Kavajë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Luftëtari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Besa Kavajë Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Besa Kava… vs FK Kukesi 1-0
Jan 24 Besa Kava… vs Skenderbe… 2-3
Jan 17 Besa Kava… vs Pogradeci 0-0
Jan 10 Besa Kava… vs Dinamo Ti… 3-0
Dec 21 Besa Kava… vs Iliria Fu… 3-1
Dec 14 Besa Kava… vs Lushnja 0-1
Dec 08 Besa Kava… vs Burreli 2-0
Dec 03 Besa Kava… vs Apolonia … 2-0
Nov 28 Besa Kava… vs Korabi Pe… 3-1
Nov 24 Besa Kava… vs Kastrioti… 2-1
Luftëtari Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Luftëtari vs Laci 1-0
Jan 24 Luftëtari vs FK Kukesi 3-1
Jan 17 Luftëtari vs Skenderbe… 1-1
Dec 20 Luftëtari vs Pogradeci 2-3
Dec 13 Luftëtari vs Iliria Fu… 1-1
Dec 07 Luftëtari vs Lushnja 1-2
Dec 03 Luftëtari vs Burreli 1-0
Nov 29 Luftëtari vs Apolonia … 0-2
Nov 23 Luftëtari vs Korabi Pe… 1-1
Nov 18 Luftëtari vs Laci 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Besa Kavajë struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2025 Luftëtari 1 - 2 Besa Kavajë 1st Division
May 16, 2024 Besa Kavajë 3 - 1 Luftëtari 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Besa Kavajë Power 0
Luftëtari Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Besa Kavajë Position

+4

Position Gap

11

Luftëtari Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.