AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Feb 07, 2026

Apolonia Fier

Home
VS
12:30

Pogradeci

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Apolonia Fier Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Pogradeci Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 1.28
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Apolonia Fier Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Pogradeci Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 0-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Apolonia Fier Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Apolonia … vs Iliria Fu… 2-0
Jan 25 Apolonia … vs Lushnja 0-0
Jan 17 Apolonia … vs Burreli 2-0
Jan 10 Apolonia … vs Egnatia R… 1-0
Dec 20 Apolonia … vs Laci 0-2
Dec 13 Apolonia … vs Korabi Pe… 0-3
Dec 07 Apolonia … vs Kastrioti… 1-0
Dec 03 Apolonia … vs Besa Kava… 2-0
Nov 29 Apolonia … vs Luftëtari 0-2
Nov 23 Apolonia … vs FK Kukesi 2-0
Pogradeci Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Pogradeci vs Korabi Pe… 3-1
Jan 24 Pogradeci vs Kastrioti… 2-4
Jan 17 Pogradeci vs Besa Kava… 0-0
Jan 10 Pogradeci vs Vllaznia … 1-0
Dec 20 Pogradeci vs Luftëtari 2-3
Dec 13 Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi 2-0
Dec 07 Pogradeci vs Skenderbe… 1-2
Dec 03 Pogradeci vs Laci 0-0
Nov 29 Pogradeci vs Iliria Fu… 0-0
Nov 23 Pogradeci vs Lushnja 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pogradeci in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Apolonia Fier struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2025 Pogradeci 1 - 0 Apolonia Fier 1st Division
Feb 17, 2025 Pogradeci 1 - 1 Apolonia Fier 1st Division
Feb 08, 2025 Apolonia Fier 0 - 0 Pogradeci 1st Division
Nov 03, 2024 Pogradeci 1 - 0 Apolonia Fier 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Apolonia Fier Power 0
Pogradeci Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Apolonia Fier Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Pogradeci Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.