AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 11, 2026

Grimsby

Home
VS
19:45

Accrington ST

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Grimsby Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Accrington ST Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.71 - 1.04
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Grimsby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Accrington ST Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Grimsby Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 2-2
Jan 27 Grimsby vs Colchester 0-1
Jan 24 Grimsby vs Cheltenham 0-2
Jan 17 Grimsby vs Barnet 1-0
Jan 10 Grimsby vs Weston-su… 3-2
Jan 01 Grimsby vs Fleetwood… 0-1
Dec 29 Grimsby vs Shrewsbury 1-0
Dec 26 Grimsby vs Oldham 0-0
Dec 20 Grimsby vs Bromley 2-0
Dec 13 Grimsby vs Notts Cou… 0-2
Accrington ST Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Accringto… vs Cheltenham 3-1
Jan 27 Accringto… vs Newport C… 1-4
Jan 24 Accringto… vs Walsall 0-0
Jan 17 Accringto… vs Milton Ke… 0-2
Jan 01 Accringto… vs Notts Cou… 0-1
Dec 29 Accringto… vs Harrogate… 1-0
Dec 26 Accringto… vs Barrow 2-1
Dec 19 Accringto… vs Cambridge… 2-0
Dec 13 Accringto… vs Bromley 0-1
Dec 09 Accringto… vs Harrogate… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grimsby in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Accrington ST in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Accrington ST 1 - 1 Grimsby League Two
Jan 01, 2025 Accrington ST 3 - 2 Grimsby Pro League
Dec 03, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 2 Accrington ST Pro League
Feb 03, 2024 Accrington ST 0 - 0 Grimsby Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Grimsby Power 38
Accrington ST Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Grimsby Position

+4

Position Gap

13

Accrington ST Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.