AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Feb 16, 2026

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
01:00

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Tigres UANL Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.61 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Cruz Azul Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Cruz Azul vs Vancouver… 0-3
Jan 31 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 3-4
Jan 18 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-0
Jan 14 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-0
Jan 11 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
Jan 05 Cruz Azul vs CDS Tampi… 2-1
Dec 10 Cruz Azul vs Flamengo 1-2
Dec 07 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Dec 04 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Dec 01 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 3-2
Tigres UANL Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Tigres UA… vs Forge 0-0
Feb 01 Tigres UA… vs León FC 1-2
Jan 18 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 0-0
Jan 15 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 0-1
Jan 12 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-2
Dec 15 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-1
Dec 12 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 1-0
Dec 07 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Dec 04 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Nov 30 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 04, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 05, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
May 02, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champ…
Apr 24, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champ…
Feb 16, 2025 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Feb 18, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.