AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 17, 2026

Crewe

Home
VS
19:45

Fleetwood Town

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Crewe Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Fleetwood Town Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.69 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Fleetwood Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Crewe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Crewe vs Barnet 1-1
Jan 31 Crewe vs Colchester 1-0
Jan 27 Crewe vs Burnley 2-2
Jan 24 Crewe vs Notts Cou… 1-0
Jan 17 Crewe vs Barrow 3-1
Jan 10 Crewe vs Harrogate… 1-1
Jan 01 Crewe vs Cheltenham 4-1
Dec 29 Crewe vs Newport C… 2-0
Dec 26 Crewe vs Walsall 1-0
Dec 19 Crewe vs Bristol R… 1-1
Fleetwood Town Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Fleetwood… vs Notts Cou… 1-2
Jan 27 Fleetwood… vs Harrogate… 1-2
Jan 24 Fleetwood… vs Colchester 2-1
Jan 17 Fleetwood… vs Cambridge… 1-2
Jan 13 Fleetwood… vs Doncaster 3-1
Jan 09 Fleetwood… vs Port Vale 1-0
Jan 01 Fleetwood… vs Grimsby 0-1
Dec 29 Fleetwood… vs Salford C… 0-0
Dec 26 Fleetwood… vs Tranmere … 1-0
Dec 20 Fleetwood… vs Gillingham 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fleetwood Town struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 19, 2025 Fleetwood Town 1 - 4 Crewe League Two
Mar 04, 2025 Crewe 1 - 4 Fleetwood Town Pro League
Oct 22, 2024 Fleetwood Town 0 - 1 Crewe Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Crewe to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crewe Power 38
Fleetwood Town Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Crewe Position

+5

Position Gap

15

Fleetwood Town Position
Home Win Rate: 53%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.