AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tocantinense Mar 08, 2025

Araguaína

Home
VS
19:00

Tocantinópolis

Away
AI Predictions 58.5% Confidence
Araguaína Win
58.5%
Draw
22.3%
Tocantinópolis Win
19.2%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.21 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Araguaína Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Tocantinópolis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Araguaína Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Araguaína vs Gurupi 1-1
Feb 20 Araguaína vs Gurupi 2-1
Feb 04 Araguaína vs Tocantinó… 0-1
Jan 30 Araguaína vs Capital 1-2
Tocantinópolis Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Tocantinó… vs Gurupi 1-1
Feb 15 Tocantinó… vs Bela Vist… 0-1
Apr 06 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 2-1
Mar 30 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 1-2
Mar 02 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 0-0
Feb 09 Tocantinó… vs Bela Vist… 2-1
Feb 04 Tocantinó… vs Araguaína 0-1
Mar 05 Tocantinó… vs Bela Vist… 1-1
Feb 25 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 0-0
Mar 26 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tocantinópolis struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 Tocantinópolis 0 - 1 Araguaína Tocantinense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Araguaína to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Araguaína Power 0
Tocantinópolis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.