AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
PFL Mar 04, 2023

Kaya–Iloilo

Home
VS
08:00

Maharlika

Away
AI Predictions 75.0% Confidence
Kaya–Iloilo Win
75.0%
Draw
19.0%
Maharlika Win
6.0%
Home Win (75% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 3.15 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Kaya–Iloilo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Maharlika Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Kaya–Iloilo Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Kaya–Iloi… vs Maharlika 1-4
Aug 27 Kaya–Iloi… vs Maharlika 4-1
Mar 14 Kaya–Iloi… vs Maharlika 0-1
Oct 28 Kaya–Iloi… vs Maharlika 1-0
Maharlika Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Maharlika vs Kaya–Iloi… 1-4
Aug 27 Maharlika vs Kaya–Iloi… 4-1
Mar 14 Maharlika vs Kaya–Iloi… 0-1
Oct 28 Maharlika vs Kaya–Iloi… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kaya–Iloilo in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Maharlika struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2022 Maharlika 1 - 4 Kaya–Iloilo PFL
Aug 27, 2022 Kaya–Iloilo 4 - 1 Maharlika PFL
Mar 14, 2022 Maharlika 0 - 1 Kaya–Iloilo Copa Paulino A…
Oct 28, 2020 Kaya–Iloilo 1 - 0 Maharlika PFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kaya–Iloilo to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kaya–Iloilo Power 0
Maharlika Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Kaya–Iloilo Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Maharlika Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.