AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Rondoniense Feb 02, 2025

Paranoá

Home
VS
20:00

Jaguaré

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Paranoá Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Jaguaré Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.04 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Jaguaré Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Paranoá Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Paranoá vs Gama 1-0
Jan 26 Paranoá vs Sobradinh… 0-1
Sep 28 Paranoá vs Friburgue… 0-1
Apr 27 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 0-0
Apr 20 Paranoá vs União Cac… 0-0
Apr 13 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 3-1
Mar 23 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 0-2
Mar 20 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 0-0
Mar 17 Paranoá vs União Cac… 2-1
Mar 02 Paranoá vs Real FC 2-1
Jaguaré Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Jaguaré vs Sport Rec… 4-1
Jan 25 Jaguaré vs Retrô FC … 1-1
Jan 22 Jaguaré vs Decisão 2-1
Jan 15 Jaguaré vs Nautico R… 3-2
Dec 17 Jaguaré vs Nautico R… 1-1
Sep 21 Jaguaré vs Decisão 0-1
Sep 14 Jaguaré vs Acadêmica… 2-1
Sep 08 Jaguaré vs Acadêmica… 3-0
Jul 14 Jaguaré vs Decisão 2-1
Jul 09 Jaguaré vs Acadêmica… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2023 Jaguaré 0 - 0 Paranoá Rondoniense
May 06, 2021 Paranoá 0 - 1 Jaguaré Rondoniense
Apr 25, 2021 Jaguaré 1 - 1 Paranoá Rondoniense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paranoá to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paranoá Power 0
Jaguaré Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.