AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Rondoniense Mar 05, 2023

Jaguaré

Home
VS
20:00

Paranoá

Away
AI Predictions 54.0% Confidence
Jaguaré Win
54.0%
Draw
23.2%
Paranoá Win
22.8%
Home Win (54% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.84 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jaguaré Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Jaguaré Form 17.5%
Date Match Result
May 12 Jaguaré vs Barcelona… 1-0
May 06 Jaguaré vs Paranoá 0-1
May 02 Jaguaré vs Barcelona… 0-2
Apr 25 Jaguaré vs Paranoá 1-1
Paranoá Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 Paranoá vs Capital B… 1-1
Feb 12 Paranoá vs Gama 1-1
Feb 03 Paranoá vs Gama 0-4
Jan 26 Paranoá vs Capital B… 2-1
May 12 Paranoá vs União Cac… 3-1
May 09 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 3-2
May 06 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 0-1
May 02 Paranoá vs União Cac… 1-2
Apr 28 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 1-2
Apr 25 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jaguaré in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2021 Paranoá 0 - 1 Jaguaré Rondoniense
Apr 25, 2021 Jaguaré 1 - 1 Paranoá Rondoniense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Jaguaré to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jaguaré Power 0
Paranoá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.