AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Jun 19, 2025

Al Zawra'a

Home
VS
18:30

Naft

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Al Zawra'a Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Naft Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.52 - 1.13
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Zawra'a Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Naft Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Al Zawra'a Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 15 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Qasim … 1-2
May 13 Al Zawra'a vs Naft Mays… 0-2
May 12 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Qasim … 2-1
May 08 Al Zawra'a vs Diyala 1-0
May 07 Al Zawra'a vs Zakho 0-3
May 02 Al Zawra'a vs Zakho 0-0
May 01 Al Zawra'a vs Al Quwa A… 2-2
Apr 17 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Talaba 1-0
Apr 04 Al Zawra'a vs Naft Mays… 2-0
Apr 03 Al Zawra'a vs Duhok 1-2
Naft Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Naft vs Naft Mays… 0-0
Apr 16 Naft vs Erbil 2-3
Apr 10 Naft vs Diyala 2-0
Mar 29 Naft vs Al Minaa … 2-0
Mar 02 Naft vs Al Quwa A… 0-0
Feb 14 Naft vs Al Najaf 0-0
Jan 28 Naft vs Erbil 0-2
Jan 15 Naft vs Al Zawra'a 3-1
Jan 07 Naft vs Al Minaa … 1-0
Jan 02 Naft vs Al Zawra'a 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Zawra'a in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2025 Al Zawra'a 3 - 1 Naft Iraqi League
Jan 02, 2025 Al Zawra'a 0 - 0 Naft Iraqi League
Jul 04, 2024 Naft 1 - 3 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Apr 01, 2024 Naft 3 - 2 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Dec 31, 2023 Al Zawra'a 1 - 1 Naft Iraqi League
Nov 11, 2023 Al Zawra'a 2 - 2 Naft Iraqi League
Jul 21, 2023 Al Zawra'a 0 - 1 Naft Iraqi League
Apr 24, 2023 Naft 1 - 2 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Feb 28, 2023 Naft 0 - 3 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Nov 25, 2022 Al Zawra'a 2 - 2 Naft Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Zawra'a to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Zawra'a Power 0
Naft Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Al Zawra'a Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Naft Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.