AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 11, 2026

Operário Ferroviário

Home
VS
23:30

Costa Rica

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Operário Ferroviário Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Costa Rica Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.42 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.6 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Operário Ferroviário Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Operário Ferroviário Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Operário … vs Águia Neg… 1-1
Feb 01 Operário … vs Ivinhema 1-3
Jan 28 Operário … vs Cr Aquida… 3-0
Jan 24 Operário … vs Corumbaen… 0-0
Jan 18 Operário … vs Portugues… 3-0
Apr 06 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-1
Mar 29 Operário … vs Ivinhema 1-0
Mar 22 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-2
Mar 16 Operário … vs Portugues… 2-2
Mar 09 Operário … vs Costa Rica 3-1
Costa Rica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-1
Feb 01 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 2-1
Jan 28 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 1-0
Jan 24 Costa Rica vs Cr Aquida… 1-1
Mar 09 Costa Rica vs Operário … 3-1
Mar 05 Costa Rica vs Operário … 0-1
Mar 02 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 2-3
Feb 23 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 2-2
Feb 15 Costa Rica vs Operário … 1-0
Feb 09 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Operário Ferroviário in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Operário Ferroviário 3 - 1 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 05, 2025 Costa Rica 0 - 1 Operário Ferroviário Sul-Matogrosse…
Feb 15, 2025 Operário Ferroviário 1 - 0 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Operário Ferroviário to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Operário Ferroviário Power 0
Costa Rica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Operário Ferroviário Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Costa Rica Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.